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OVI Market Update

While the broad markets make record highs poor old AAPL is making 12-month lows.  Remember, you only want to enter a trade where all the planets are lining up and it’s a no-brainer type of situation.  

The S&P has gathered its composure after its wobble though volume is subdued on the ETF.  

spy 2013.03.07.jpg

The Dow is similar but with an uglier OVI reading.  This makes me a little cautious as to the longevity of the current record breaking behaviour, but for now it is what it is.  

dia 2013.03.07.jpg

AAPL is still looking bearish – another bear flag with little support.  

aapl 2013.03.07.jpg

Now the financials: BAC looks like a potential head and shoulders, but the OVI is positive, as are many of the other financial stocks we follow.  

bac 2013.03.07.jpg

C is reaching for new highs and the OVI is with it stride for stride.  

c 2013.03.07.jpg

GS is proving to be rather resilient in terms of its OVI.  Let’s see if price follows … 

gs 2013.03.07.jpg

JPM still looking good – may even form another flag here.  

jpm 2013.03.07.jpg

MS not looking quite so good .. even a sort of head and shoulders forming and a negative OVI for the last couple of weeks.  

ms 2013.03.07.jpg

Now for Gold and Silver … 

Both looking at bit feeble and looking for support.  That will come if the broad markets run out of steam.  

GLD 

gld 2013.03.07.jpg

SLV 

slv 2013.03.07.jpg

Another stock looking weak is BIDU.  Only two months ago this was looking bullish and now it’s looking vulnerable to another drop.  OVI has been negative for over a month, and price is forming a bearish channel near recent lows.  A short below support.  

bidu 2013.03.07.jpg

CAT also looking wobbly.  Looks like it’s filled the December-January gap and wants to move down another leg.  

cat 2013.03.07.jpg

Oil stocks: CVX pushing for new highs and an OVI that has been positive for months.  

cvxa 2013.03.07.jpg

PSX hasn’t yet had a break since its split from Conoco.  The only negative thing I can see here is a Doji, but other than that it’s still looking positive for PSX.  Keep your eye on this for a new bull flag to form.  

psx 2013.03.07.jpg

SLB not looking so good price-wise, but its forming a pennant over the last two weeks and will pop one way or another.  OVI remains positive while price is bearish, so this falls into the “Avoid for now” category. 

slb 2013.03.07.jpg

Something’s going on with FB.  The OVI doesn’t shoot to its maximum reading for 2 days without some sort of peculiar activity happening in the background.  However, price action isn’t giving us any clues just yet, so hold fire on this one.  

fb 2013.03.07.jpg

GOOG powering to new highs and its OVI has correlated nicely.  Could even be about to form a new consolidation.  

goog 2013.03.07.jpg

HD forming two Dojis in succession but also could be forming a bull flag.  Amazing performer for many months, with price and OVI correlating like a dream.  

hd 2013.03.07.jpg

HPQ, who’d have believed it!  Pushing on but needs to consolidate for us to be able to enter a trade.  

hpq 2013.03.07.jpg

I’ve liked MCD for a while now – and I’m not talking about their food!  Great OVI and price correlation for many months.  Pushing on for new highs.  

mcd 2013.03.07.jpg

MRK looks like it wants to push upwards past $44.  

mrk 2013.03.07.jpg

NFLX is forming a micro head and shoulders.  The January gap looks so tantalizing to be filled, but don’t let wishful thinking determine your trades!  

nflx 2013.03.07.jpg

VZ continuing its fine form.  Good correlation with the OVI especially in the last couple of months.  

vz 2013.03.07.jpg

X (US Steel) looking a bit fed up with things.  

x 2013.03.07.jpg

YHOO forming another bull flag?  

yhoo 2013.03.07.jpg

All the best

Guy  

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